Smart money tracker

War panic continued but support emerged from low level

Today Nifty 50 opened gap down by about 500 points indicating high level of panic due to the ongoing conflict in the middle east region. It went down to below the 29th Aug, 2025 low price of 24400 and almost touched the 24300 level. Thereafter some strong support came and bounced back from there. Towards the end of the day Nifty made new high and reached beyond 24600. However, again in the last 30 min it retraced down and closed at 24480. This close is higher than the 29 Aug

Iran Israel conflict boosting the bearish pressure on Nifty

On 2nd March the panic selling started right at the market open and continued until the last hour before some recovery was witnessed. Our position was already on the short side so this panic selling helped to almost double the unrealized profit in our account. However, the India Vix shot up by ~25% by the end of the day reducing the intraday profitability a lot. At the closing point, the MHAF spreadsheet showed strong downtrend persisting. The method 1 (hypothetical, we are n

It is March 2026 series and we started with a bearish mood

On 24th Feb, when the previous series monthly options expired, Nifty closed with a strong bearish candle at 25424. Around closing, the MHAF chart was clearly indicating a breakdown (pic below), and the spreadsheet was showing a sell trigger below 25488. Accordingly, following the teachings in the book, March futures were shorted at 25580, and March 25300 Puts were shorted at a premium of 278. The breakeven point to the upside stood away comfortably at 25854. If we didn't use

Resuming My NIFTY 50 Analysis Journey with Avinash Khilnani's F&O Trading Strategy

After a long break, I am excited to restart my daily analysis of the NIFTY 50 index. This time, I will focus on applying the Futures and Options (F&O) trading strategy outlined by Avinash Khilnani in his book. This approach has helped many traders understand market movements and make informed decisions. Sharing my insights regularly will not only sharpen my skills but also provide useful information to fellow traders interested in the Indian stock market. NIFTY 50 daily chart