

Nifty bounced back but where is the conviction?
Yesterday (10th March) Nifty gapped up with a lot of hope from Trump's assurance that the war may be over very soon. Opening at 24280, it slightly inched up to 24303 but could not sustain there. Moderate selling pressure came immediately to bring it down up to 24080 but then support came from the bulls and pushed back Nifty higher near the opening level finally closing at 24262. Despite this up move from the previous closing point (24028), our MHAF candles at the bottom of th


Panic selling resumed today but support came later
Today Nifty opened with a gap down of whopping 580 points clearly confirming the fresh panic emerged due to the sudden surge in crude oil price (from $90 to $115) and reported shortages of stocks globally. The market remained under pressure during most of the day but upon receiving some good news from the media about a quicker than expected resolution of the ongoing war. In the later half, getting good support from the bulls, Nifty inched up by 380 points from the day's low a


We have booked our profit and done for the month
Today Nifty took a U turn and started falling again because of the fresh uncertainty emerging on the war fronts. It opened at 24656 but the moment it tried to test the 24700 level, strong selling emerged and from that point the fall was continuous. The bears were in total control and despite a few up-move efforts they didn't allow Nifty to go back to the opening level again. The final hour brought more selling pressure due to the upcoming weekend. Despite the sharp downmove o


Nifty bounced back but can it sustain?
Today, getting support from the global cue, Nifty 50 opened gap up and steadily rose up to 24850 but due to some selling pressure towards the end, closed at 24766. It is still going through the ebbs and flows based on the contradictory news feed coming from different war fronts without caring much about the technicals or fundamentals. Despite such a strong up-move, the MHAF candles on our chart is giving no immediate signal of a bullish reversal. It might take 2-3 days to app


War panic continued but support emerged from low level
Today Nifty 50 opened gap down by about 500 points indicating high level of panic due to the ongoing conflict in the middle east region. It went down to below the 29th Aug, 2025 low price of 24400 and almost touched the 24300 level. Thereafter some strong support came and bounced back from there. Towards the end of the day Nifty made new high and reached beyond 24600. However, again in the last 30 min it retraced down and closed at 24480. This close is higher than the 29 Aug


Iran Israel conflict boosting the bearish pressure on Nifty
On 2nd March the panic selling started right at the market open and continued until the last hour before some recovery was witnessed. Our position was already on the short side so this panic selling helped to almost double the unrealized profit in our account. However, the India Vix shot up by ~25% by the end of the day reducing the intraday profitability a lot. At the closing point, the MHAF spreadsheet showed strong downtrend persisting. The method 1 (hypothetical, we are n


It is March 2026 series and we started with a bearish mood
On 24th Feb, when the previous series monthly options expired, Nifty closed with a strong bearish candle at 25424. Around closing, the MHAF chart was clearly indicating a breakdown (pic below), and the spreadsheet was showing a sell trigger below 25488. Accordingly, following the teachings in the book, March futures were shorted at 25580, and March 25300 Puts were shorted at a premium of 278. The breakeven point to the upside stood away comfortably at 25854. If we didn't use


Resuming My NIFTY 50 Analysis Journey with Avinash Khilnani's F&O Trading Strategy
After a long break, I am excited to restart my daily analysis of the NIFTY 50 index. This time, I will focus on applying the Futures and Options (F&O) trading strategy outlined by Avinash Khilnani in his book. This approach has helped many traders understand market movements and make informed decisions. Sharing my insights regularly will not only sharpen my skills but also provide useful information to fellow traders interested in the Indian stock market. NIFTY 50 daily chart


Bearish divergence may pull down NIFTY today
On 27th Mar, Tuesday, the broader Indian market represented by the Index NIFTY50 opened with a gap up but failed to sustain the momentum....


Indian market may break out of the range to downside and find support at 9000
The benchmark index NIFTY 50 is now trading within a narrow range since 9 previous sessions. It is obvious that a break out from this...
